Sunday, January 18, 2026

State of the Oscar Race

Timothee Chalamet is the frontrunner
for Best Actor in the Oscar race.
After the GGs, CCs, SAG and Independent Spirit noms, BAFTA long-list, and critics' awards from NY, LA and national groups, the Oscar race is solidifying. (Nominations will be announced on Jan. 22.) One Battle After Another is the favorite to win Best Picture, Director and Adapted Screenplay (both by Paul Thomas Anderson). Sinners will probably take Original Screenplay. The leading actress and actor awards will probably go to Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) and Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme). Supporting Actor and Actress are up in the air since each major award has gone to a different person. In the Supporting Actress category, Amy Madigan of Weapons won the Critics Choice while Tayana Taylor of One Battle won the GG. Stellan Skarsgaard of Sentimental Value won the GG but Jacob Elrodi (Frankenstein's monster) took the CC. Benicio Del Toro was awarded the majority of the critics' groups' accolades. 

We saw Marty Supreme last night. Timothee was intense and charismatic as the narcissistic table-tennis hustler. There was also some interesting casting with Shark Tank's Kevin O'Leary, filmmaker Abel Ferrara, Fran Drescher, Sarah Bernhardt, Penn Jillette (who I didn't even recognize), and David Mamet in supporting roles.

Oscar contenders seen:
Frankenstein (Netflix)
Nuremberg (Kaufman-Astoria)
Blue Moon (Kew Gardens Cinema)
One Battle After Another (Amazon Prime)
Train Dreams (Netflix)
Wicked: For Good (Regal Union Square in 3D, 4DX)
Hamnet (Kew Gardens Cinema)
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You (Amazon Prime)
Sentimental Value (Angelika Cinema)
Jay Kelly (Netflix)
Sinners (HBO Max)
Familiar Touch (Amazon Prime)
Marty Supreme (Kew Gardens Cinema)


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