Saturday, March 9, 2024

Final Oscar Predictions

Da'Vine Joy Randolph, Lily Gladstone,
Cillian Murphy
With the viewing of The Color Purple on Max, I've seen all the Oscar acting nominees, plus the Best Picture candidates and almost all those in the running for the major categories. (I tried to watch Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning on Paramount +, but I was bored out of my mind after 30 minutes. I couldn't bring myself to care about any of these people.) Here are my predictions for the winners which will be handed out tomorrow night.

Best Picture: Oppenheimer
Best Actor: Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Best Actress: Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Best Supporting Actor: Robert Downey, Jr., Oppenheimer
Best Supporting Actress: Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Best Director: Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Best Original Screenplay: Anatomy of a Fall (Though I would vote for Past Lives)
Best Adapted Screenplay: Barbie (a consolation prize from Greta Gerwig being snubbed in the Director Category)
Best International Feature: The Zone of Interest
Best Documentary Feature: 20 Days in Mariupol
Best Animated Feature: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (I would go with The Boy and the Heron, but Spidey is getting more buzz including winning at the Annie Awards)
Best Editing, Sound, Cinematography, Original Score: Oppenheimer
Best Costume Design, Production Design: Barbie
Best Original Song: "What Was I Made For?" from Barbie
Best Make-up and Hairstyling: Maestro
Best Visual Effects: Godzilla Minus One (This is the only one in the category I haven't seen yet--apart from the remaining two hours and ten mins. of Mission Impossible. But everyone seems to be predicting the Japanese monster to roll over the competition.)
Best Live-Action Short: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
Best Animated Short: War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko (My preference is Ninety-Five Senses but this cloying pacifist message short won at the Annie Awards.) 
Best Documentary Short: The ABCs of Book Banning (This one sends the proper liberal message, but it's kinda dull. If I were voting, I'd go with The Last Repair Shop or Nai Nai and Wai Po)

2023 Potential Oscar Nominated Films Seen So Far
Oppenheimer (34th Street AMC and again on Amazon Prime)
Barbie (Regal Union Square)
Asteroid City (Angelika)
Golda (County Theater, Doylestown, PA)
Killers of the Flower Moon (Regal Kaufman Astoria)
Rustin (Netflix)
The Killer (Netflix)--Tilda Swinton could nab a Supporting Actress nod
Maestro (Paris Cinema mezzanine and again on Netflix)
May December (Netflix)
Past Lives (Amazon Prime)
Poor Things (Regal Kaufman Astoria)
The Holdovers (Regal Union Square--and again on Amazon Prime)
American Fiction (AMC Empire 25--Times Square)
Anatomy of a Fall (Amazon Prime)
Nyad (Netflix)
Napoleon (Amazon Prime)
Society of the Snow (Netflix)
The Zone of Interest (Angelika)
Perfect Days (Angelika)
El Conde (Netflix)
The Creator (Hulu)
Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 3 (Disney +)
*Still: A Michael J. Fox Film (Apple TV +)
Les Menus Plaisir--Les Troisgros (Film Forum)
20 Days in Mariupol (Frontline/PBS/Watched on the Passport app)
American Symphony (Netflix)
*Beyond Utopia (Independent Lens/PBS)
*Stamped from the Beginning (Netflix)
The Eternal Memory (MTV Documentaries/Paramount +)
Bobi Wine: The People's President (National Geographic/Disney +)
Four Daughters (Amazon Prime)
Elemental (Disney +)
The Boy and the Heron (AMC Empire 25--Times Square)
Nimona (Netflix)
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Netflix)
The Color Purple (Max)
All of Us Strangers (Hulu) (BAFTA, Golden Globe, Film Independent Spirit nominated, National Society of Film Critic winner for Best Actor--Andrew Scott)

Short Films
Live Action
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar (Netflix)
The After (Netflix)
*Yellow (YouTube)
Knight of Fortune (New Yorker/YouTube)
Red White and Blue (YouTube)
*The Shepherd (Disney +)
Invincible (YouTube)

Animated
*Boom (YouTube)
Pachyderm (YouTube, again at IFC)
*Once Upon a Studio (Disney +)
*Pete (YouTube)
Letter to a Pig (YouTube, again at IFC)
*Eeva (YouTube)
Our Uniform (IFC)
Ninety-Five Senses (IFC)
War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko (IFC)
*Wild Summons (IFC)
*I'm Hip (IFC)

Documentary
*How We Get Free (Max)
Island in Between (NY Times/YouTube)
*Deciding Vote (New Yorker/YouTube)
The Last Repair Shop (LA Times/Searchlight/YouTube)
*If Dreams Were Lightning: Rural Healthcare Crisis (Independent Lens/PBS/watched on the Passport app)
*Between Earth and Sky (POV/PBS website)
The Barber of Little Rock (New Yorker/YouTube)
*Camp Courage (Netflix)
The ABCs of Book Banning (MTV Documentaries/Paramount +)
*Last Song from Kabul (MTV Documentaries/Paramount +)
*Black Girls Play: The Story of Hand Games (ESPN +)
Nai Nai and Wai Po (Disney +)

*short-listed but not nominated

I'm starting to think about next year's Oscars--so I should probably see Dune 2, a shoe-in for Visual Effects and Sound.


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